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Aliya

11,075 recorded births · active 1971–2025

Compare Aliya →

Living-age distribution

The median living Aliya is 17. If you meet a Aliya, there's about a 70% chance they're between 6 and 27 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Aliya: 2012. Down 25% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

Aliya is almost always given to female babies — 100% female.

100%female
Female100%

Rarity

Aliya ranks #2,631 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

97.5%more common
Commonness rank#2,631of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Aliya have popularity-curve siblings named:

AmaniMayaMikahEmelyChloe

Geographic fingerprint

Aliyas are 1.3x more common in the West than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Aliya's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Aliya's modeled peak was #1,136 in 2012 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.

Top 1000
2% chance
Top 500
0% chance
Top 100
0% chance
Top 50
0% chance
Top 10
0% chance

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Aliya's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 55 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2012 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Growing

Aliya's popularity has been gently rising in recent years without yet approaching its historic peak.

13
years since peak
→ stable
overall trend
n/a
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Aliya isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.

If Aliya enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:

71%
5 years
63%
10 years
48%
20 years

Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.