Carisa
3,025 recorded births · active 1958–2021
Compare Carisa →Living-age distribution
The median living Carisa is 46. If you meet a Carisa, there's about a 70% chance they're between 29 and 53 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Carisa: 1977. Down 98% from peak.
Gender balance
Carisa is almost always given to female babies — 100% female.
Rarity
Carisa ranks #5,846 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Carisas are 0.6x more common in the West than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Carisa's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Carisa's modeled peak was #1,332 in 1977 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Carisa peaked in 1977 and now sits at roughly 2% of that peak, 48 years later — a name that was genuinely common once, now mostly heard from an older generation.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Carisa isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Carisa enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.