Derald
2,190 recorded births · active 1914–2000
Compare Derald →Living-age distribution
The median living Derald is 67. If you meet a Derald, there's about a 70% chance they're between 48 and 83 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Derald: 1929. Down 100% from peak.
Gender balance
Derald is almost always given to male babies — 100% male.
Rarity
Derald ranks #7,181 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Deralds are 0.6x more common in the Midwest than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Derald's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Derald's modeled peak was #1,485 in 1929 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Derald hasn't shown up in SSA records since 2000 — fewer than 5 babies have gotten the name in any year since, which is below what the SSA even reports.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Derald isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Derald enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.