Dominick
67,447 recorded births · active 1881–2025
Compare Dominick →Living-age distribution
The median living Dominick is 23. If you meet a Dominick, there's about a 70% chance they're between 11 and 52 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Dominick: 2003. Down 66% from peak.
Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.
Gender balance
Dominick is almost always given to male babies — 99.5% male.
Rarity
Dominick ranks #915 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Dominicks are 2.4x more common in the Northeast than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Dominick's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Dominick's modeled peak was #386 in 2003 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.
This forecasts Dominick's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 142 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2003 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Births have shrunk about 8% a year on average over the last 5 years.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Dominick isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Dominick enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.