Earnestine
16,134 recorded births · active 1889–2001
Compare Earnestine →Living-age distribution
The median living Earnestine is 76. If you meet a Earnestine, there's about a 70% chance they're between 65 and 86 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Earnestine: 1940. Down 100% from peak.
Gender balance
Earnestine is almost always given to female babies — 99.8% female.
Rarity
Earnestine ranks #2,107 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Earnestines are 2.7x more common in the South than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Earnestine's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Earnestine's modeled peak was #565 in 1940 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Earnestine hasn't shown up in SSA records since 2001 — fewer than 5 babies have gotten the name in any year since, which is below what the SSA even reports.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Earnestine isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Earnestine enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.