Ernestine
44,191 recorded births · active 1880–2021
Compare Ernestine →Living-age distribution
The median living Ernestine is 75. If you meet a Ernestine, there's about a 70% chance they're between 60 and 86 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Ernestine: 1928. Down 100% from peak.
Gender balance
Ernestine is almost always given to female babies — 99.8% female.
Rarity
Ernestine ranks #1,191 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Ernestines are 1.9x more common in the South than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Ernestine's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Ernestine's modeled peak was #340 in 1928 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Ernestine peaked in 1928 and now sits at roughly 0% of that peak, 97 years later — a name that was genuinely common once, now mostly heard from an older generation.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Ernestine isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Ernestine enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.