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Esteban

35,623 recorded births · active 1891–2025

Compare Esteban →

Living-age distribution

The median living Esteban is 22. If you meet a Esteban, there's about a 70% chance they're between 8 and 42 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Esteban: 2005. Down 22% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

Esteban is almost always given to male babies — 99.9% male.

99.9%male
Male99.9%
Female0.1%

Rarity

Esteban ranks #1,349 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

98.7%more common
Commonness rank#1,349of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Esteban have popularity-curve siblings named:

MoisesAndresFabianAdrianNicolas

Geographic fingerprint

Estebans are 2.6x more common in the West than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Esteban's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Esteban's modeled peak was #635 in 2005 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.

Top 1000 Reached in 1980
Top 500
0% chance
Top 100
0% chance
Top 50
0% chance
Top 10
0% chance

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Esteban's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 121 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2005 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Growing

Esteban's popularity has been gently rising in recent years without yet approaching its historic peak.

20
years since peak
→ stable
overall trend
~40 years
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Esteban isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.

If Esteban enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:

71%
5 years
63%
10 years
48%
20 years

Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.