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Jorge

140,166 recorded births · active 1910–2025

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Living-age distribution

The median living Jorge is 29. If you meet a Jorge, there's about a 70% chance they're between 14 and 48 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Jorge: 1996. Down 63% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

Jorge is almost always given to male babies — 99.5% male.

99.5%male
Male99.5%
Female0.5%

Rarity

Jorge ranks #541 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

99.5%more common
Commonness rank#541of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Jorge have popularity-curve siblings named:

SergioGerardoMarcoMiguelLuis

Geographic fingerprint

Jorges are 2.6x more common in the West than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Jorge's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Jorge's modeled peak was #201 in 2000 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.

Top 1000 Reached in 1952
Top 500 Reached in 1970
Top 100
0% chance
Top 50
0% chance
Top 10
0% chance

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Jorge's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 114 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2000 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Declining

Jorge's popularity has been easing lower recently, though not sharply enough to call it a steep decline.

29
years since peak
↘ falling
overall trend
~34 years
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Jorge isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.

If Jorge enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:

71%
5 years
63%
10 years
48%
20 years

Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.