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Julian

268,291 recorded births · active 1880–2025

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Living-age distribution

The median living Julian is 16. If you meet a Julian, there's about a 70% chance they're between 5 and 34 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Julian: 2019. Down 9% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

Julian is almost always given to male babies — 98.9% male.

98.9%male
Male98.9%
Female1.1%

Rarity

Julian ranks #298 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

99.7%more common
Commonness rank#298of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Julian have popularity-curve siblings named:

MariamOliviaBelenMadelynElijah

Geographic fingerprint

Julians are 2.0x more common in the West than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Julian's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Julian's modeled peak was #38 in 2025 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.

Top 1000 Reached in 1880
Top 500 Reached in 1883
Top 100 Reached in 2006
Top 50 Reached in 2018
Top 10
0% chance

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Julian's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 146 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2025 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Peaking

Julian is holding within 9% of its all-time peak share and growth has flattened out — it's plateaued near the top rather than still climbing or sliding.

6
years since peak
→ stable
overall trend
30+ years
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Julian has been in the Top 100 tier for 20 years running.

Chance Julian is still in Top 100 after:

88%
5 years
72%
10 years
42%
20 years

Median years remaining above Top 100: ~18. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.