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Kason

14,951 recorded births · active 19742025

Compare Kason

Living-age distribution

The median living Kason is 11. If you meet a Kason, there's about a 70% chance they're between 5 and 18 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Kason: 2019. Down 32% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

Kason is almost always given to male babies — 99.7% male.

99.7%male
Male99.7%
Female0.3%

Rarity

Kason ranks #2,212 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

97.9%more common
Commonness rank#2,212of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Kason have popularity-curve siblings named:

Geographic fingerprint

Kasons are 1.8x more common in the South than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Kason's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Kason's modeled peak was #718 in 2019 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.

Top 1000 Reached in 2011
Top 500
0% chance
Top 100
0% chance
Top 50
0% chance
Top 10
0% chance

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Kason's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 52 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2019 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Declining

Births have shrunk about 11% a year on average over the last 5 years, and the decline is accelerating.

6
years since peak
falling
overall trend
n/a
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Kason isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.

If Kason enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:

71%
5 years
63%
10 years
48%
20 years

Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.