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Oliver

270,680 recorded births · active 1880–2025

Compare Oliver →

Living-age distribution

The median living Oliver is 8. If you meet a Oliver, there's about a 70% chance they're between 3 and 19 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Oliver: 2024. Down 3% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

Oliver is almost always given to male babies — 99.8% male.

99.8%male
Male99.8%
Female0.2%

Rarity

Oliver ranks #296 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

99.7%more common
Commonness rank#296of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Oliver have popularity-curve siblings named:

EmerySilasLawsonMiloAmelia

Geographic fingerprint

Olivers are 1.4x more common in the West than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Oliver's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Trending toward a peak rank around #3 (95% range 1–4) in 2035.

Top 1000 Reached in 1880
Top 500 Reached in 1880
Top 100 Reached in 2013
Top 50 Reached in 2014
Top 10 Reached in 2019

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Oliver's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 146 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its current trend is projected to set a new all-time high within the next 10 years. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Peaking

Oliver's all-time high was just 1 year ago (2024) — it's at or very near its historic peak right now.

1
years since peak
→ stable
overall trend
~41 years
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Oliver has been in the Top 100 tier for 13 years running.

Chance Oliver is still in Top 100 after:

88%
5 years
76%
10 years
49%
20 years

Median years remaining above Top 100: ~20. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.