Parker
163,836 recorded births · active 1880–2025
Compare Parker →Living-age distribution
The median living Parker is 13. If you meet a Parker, there's about a 70% chance they're between 4 and 26 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Parker: 2014. Down 4% from peak.
Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.
Gender balance
79.5% male, 20.5% female.
Among males: median age 15 (6–27). Among females: median age 8 (2–17).
Rarity
Parker ranks #461 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Parkers are 1.2x more common in the West than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Parker's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Parker's modeled peak was #72 in 2023 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.
This forecasts Parker's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 146 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2023 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Parker is holding within 4% of its all-time peak share and growth has flattened out — it's plateaued near the top rather than still climbing or sliding.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Parker has been in the Top 100 tier for 14 years running.
Chance Parker is still in Top 100 after:
Median years remaining above Top 100: ~20. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.