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Rylee

74,557 recorded births · active 19802025

Compare Rylee

Living-age distribution

The median living Rylee is 14. If you meet a Rylee, there's about a 70% chance they're between 5 and 22 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Rylee: 2010. Down 16% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

7.4% male, 92.6% female.

92.6%female
Male7.4%
Female92.6%

Rarity

Rylee ranks #855 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

99.2%more common
Commonness rank#855of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Rylee have popularity-curve siblings named:

Geographic fingerprint

Rylees are 1.3x more common in the West than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Rylee's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Rylee's modeled peak was #216 in 2010 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.

Top 1000 Reached in 1997
Top 500 Reached in 2001
Top 100
0% chance
Top 50
0% chance
Top 10
0% chance

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Rylee's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 46 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 2010 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Declining

Births have shrunk about 5% a year on average over the last 5 years, and the decline is accelerating.

15
years since peak
falling
overall trend
~42 years
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Rylee isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.

If Rylee enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:

71%
5 years
63%
10 years
48%
20 years

Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.