Shantell
5,106 recorded births · active 1963–2021
Compare Shantell →Living-age distribution
The median living Shantell is 40. If you meet a Shantell, there's about a 70% chance they're between 28 and 51 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Shantell: 1987. Down 95% from peak.
Gender balance
Shantell is almost always given to female babies — 99.5% female.
Rarity
Shantell ranks #4,158 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Shantells are 0.9x more common in the South than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Shantell's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Shantell's modeled peak was #1,434 in 1984 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Shantell peaked in 1987 and now sits at roughly 5% of that peak, 38 years later — a name that was genuinely common once, now mostly heard from an older generation.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Shantell isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Shantell enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.