Tarsha
2,375 recorded births · active 1961–1996
Compare Tarsha →Living-age distribution
The median living Tarsha is 52. If you meet a Tarsha, there's about a 70% chance they're between 46 and 55 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Tarsha: 1974. Down 100% from peak.
Gender balance
Tarsha is almost always given to female babies — 100% female.
Rarity
Tarsha ranks #6,831 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Tarshas are 1.7x more common in the South than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Tarsha's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Tarsha's modeled peak was #1,128 in 1974 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Tarsha hasn't shown up in SSA records since 1996 — fewer than 5 babies have gotten the name in any year since, which is below what the SSA even reports.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Tarsha isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Tarsha enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.