Toya
3,992 recorded births · active 1932–2018
Compare Toya →Living-age distribution
The median living Toya is 51. If you meet a Toya, there's about a 70% chance they're between 41 and 60 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Toya: 1976. Down 100% from peak.
Gender balance
Toya is almost always given to female babies — 99.4% female.
Rarity
Toya ranks #4,905 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Toyas are 1.0x more common in the Midwest than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Toya's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Toya's modeled peak was #1,183 in 1976 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Toya hasn't shown up in SSA records since 2018 — fewer than 5 babies have gotten the name in any year since, which is below what the SSA even reports.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Toya isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Toya enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.