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Vera

149,854 recorded births · active 18802025

Compare Vera

Living-age distribution

The median living Vera is 61. If you meet a Vera, there's about a 70% chance they're between 6 and 83 years old.

Popularity arc

Peak Vera: 1899. Down 84% from peak.

Projected: the dashed 10-year forecast (Holt damped-trend exponential smoothing, fit to recent years), with a shaded 95% interval.

Gender balance

Vera is almost always given to female babies — 99.9% female.

99.9%female
Male0.1%
Female99.9%

Rarity

Vera ranks #507 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.

99.5%more common
Commonness rank#507of 105,966

Name neighbors

People named Vera have popularity-curve siblings named:

Geographic fingerprint

Veras are 1.3x more common in the South than the national average.

Under-indexed
Over-indexed
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Predictive modeling

Three statistical models, all fit to Vera's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.

Peak popularity prediction

Vera's modeled peak was #89 in 1907 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.

Top 1000 Reached in 1880
Top 500 Reached in 1880
Top 100 Reached in 1897
Top 50
0% chance
Top 10
0% chance

Projects the trend forward, then converts share into rank using this year's popularity distribution.

This forecasts Vera's share of births by fitting a damped-trend model to its last 146 years of data and projecting 10 years forward with a widening uncertainty band. Each projected share is then translated into a rank by comparing it against 2025's actual name-popularity distribution — so the model implicitly assumes the overall shape of that distribution doesn't shift much over the forecast window. Its trend is projected to stay below its historic best over the next 10 years, so the model treats 1907 as its peak. Milestone probabilities come from how much of each year's uncertainty band clears that milestone's rank, combined across years as if they were independent — which slightly overstates the odds for names sitting right at a threshold, since a good year is usually followed by another good year rather than an independent coin flip.

Name life-cycle stage

A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.

Growing

Births have grown roughly 4% a year on average over the last 5 years, and Vera hasn't yet revisited its historic peak.

126
years since peak
rising
overall trend
~42 years
estimated time left in top 1000

Popularity survival model

Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?

Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.

Vera isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.

If Vera enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:

71%
5 years
63%
10 years
48%
20 years

Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.