Vernell
10,468 recorded births · active 1897–2021
Compare Vernell →Living-age distribution
The median living Vernell is 69. If you meet a Vernell, there's about a 70% chance they're between 45 and 83 years old.
Popularity arc
Peak Vernell: 1935. Down 98% from peak.
Gender balance
39.9% male, 60.1% female.
Among males: median age 56 (32–76). Among females: median age 73 (59–86).
Rarity
Vernell ranks #2,714 out of 105,966 names ever recorded by the SSA.
Geographic fingerprint
Vernells are 1.6x more common in the South than the national average.
Predictive modeling
Three statistical models, all fit to Vernell's own SSA history plus the historical behavior of every other name in the dataset.
Peak popularity prediction
Vernell's modeled peak was #796 in 1935 — its trend isn't projected to beat that.
Not enough continuous recent history to project a peak rank.
Name life-cycle stage
A rule-based classifier over recent growth, momentum, and peak proximity.
Vernell peaked in 1935 and now sits at roughly 2% of that peak, 90 years later — a name that was genuinely common once, now mostly heard from an older generation.
Popularity survival model
Once a name reaches a rank tier, how long does it typically stay there before falling out?
Built from a Kaplan-Meier survival curve: every historical run any name has ever had above this tier, with runs still ongoing today counted as still in progress rather than as an exit.Vernell isn't currently in the Top 100 tier. Estimated chance of entering it in the forecast window: 0%.
If Vernell enters Top 100, chance it's still there after:
Names that do enter Top 100 have historically stayed a median of ~19 years. Based on 668 historical Top 100 runs across every name in the dataset.